Category: Economy

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Announcment: TSAM – The Summit for Asset Management

We’re honored to have Ned Gandevani, MBA, Ph.D., Economist, Fund Manager, Financial Strategist, and Harvard Business School faculty member join us as one of the headline speakers at TSAM Boston on June 2nd, at the Renaissance Boston Seaport Hotel. With global markets navigating volatility, geopolitical risk, and inflationary pressure, Dr. Gandevani will deliver must-hear insights…
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May 7, 2025 0

Is American Exceptionalism Fading? The Markets Say No

Recent sell-offs in U.S. equities, Treasuries, and the dollar have sparked fresh debate about American exceptionalism. Market skeptics see each dip as evidence of decline. But they’re missing something crucial: American economic dominance isn’t built on daily price swings—it’s woven into the very fabric of global finance.Let me show you why talks of America’s economic…
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April 28, 2025 0

Consumer Confidence Plunges, Inflation Expectations Surge—Is Stagflation Looming?

The latest University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index and Bloomberg’s 5–10-year inflation expectations offer more evidence that the U.S. economy may be headed toward stagflation—a troubling mix of slowing economic growth and persistent inflation.• Consumer sentiment continues to decline, signaling reduced confidence in the economic outlook.• At the same time, long-term inflation expectations have hit…
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April 25, 2025 0

Market Watch: The “Sell America” Sentiment Gains Momentum

The markets are speaking, and they’re speaking loudly. Since the April 2nd tariff announcements, we’ve witnessed a significant shift in global trading patterns that’s raising eyebrows across trading floors. What’s driving this? Three key factors:• Growing uncertainty around U.S. trade policies• Questions about USMCA agreement stability• Accelerating trend of international markets decoupling from U.S. dependencies…
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April 21, 2025 0

The Economic Implications of U.S. Tariffs on Key Trading Partners

On April 2, 2025, President Donald Trump announced a series of new tariffs designed to address trade imbalances and bolster domestic manufacturing. These measures include a universal baseline tariff of 10% alongside higher, country-specific “reciprocal” tariffs aimed at nations with substantial trade surpluses with the U.S.These newly imposed tariffs carry significant economic consequences, particularly for…
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April 3, 2025 0

Stagflation Ahead: Navigating Low Growth and Rising Inflation Expectations

In light of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s recent announcement indicating a downward revision of U.S. economic growth to 1.7% and an upward adjustment of the inflation forecast to 2.7% for this year, investors are increasingly concerned about the potential onset of stagflation—a scenario characterized by sluggish economic growth and elevated inflation.Constructing a resilient investment…
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March 19, 2025 0

U.S. Economic Outlook: Navigating Emerging Challenges in 2025

As we progress through 2025, the U.S. economy is encountering a series of indicators that warrant close attention. Recent data and projections highlight potential headwinds that could influence economic stability and growth. Conclusion: Monitoring the Path AheadWhile a recession is not yet certain, these indicators collectively suggest that the U.S. economy is facing significant challenges.…
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March 17, 2025 0

Market Dynamics: Understanding the Recent Selloff

The market, like any complex adaptive system, tends to create its own momentum. What we’ve witnessed since January 2025 – and particularly during yesterday’s sharp decline on March 10 – offers a fascinating look at how internal market dynamics can amplify external shocks. Understanding the Market’s Internal State Before examining the external triggers, let’s consider…
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March 13, 2025 0

The U.S. National Debt: A $36.1 Trillion Question

The raw numbers are staggering: America’s national debt has hit $36.1 trillion. Of this total, $28.8 trillion is held by the public, while $7.3 trillion represents intergovernmental holdings—money the government essentially owes to itself. As a financial markets analyst of 25 years, I’m often asked about America’s national debt. The number itself—$36.1 trillion—is almost incomprehensible.…
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February 13, 2025 0